Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.103179 0.119379 0.137066 0.157782 0.181347 0.207288 0.237976
2024-12-22 0.075900 0.096647 0.121308 0.152662 0.191334 0.237329 0.296031
2024-12-29 0.062549 0.086624 0.117435 0.159468 0.214989 0.285441 0.381180
2025-01-05 0.051038 0.076299 0.110859 0.161074 0.231542 0.326166 0.461934
2025-01-12 0.040909 0.065667 0.101695 0.157153 0.239363 0.355503 0.530395
2025-01-19 0.033745 0.057840 0.094942 0.155119 0.248833 0.387350 0.605050
2025-01-26 0.030370 0.055163 0.095282 0.163391 0.274076 0.444146 0.721355
2025-02-02 0.027391 0.052534 0.095147 0.170611 0.298148 0.501176 0.843235
2025-02-09 0.022901 0.046437 0.088255 0.165542 0.301397 0.525445 0.915506
2025-02-16 0.019770 0.042234 0.083938 0.164120 0.310245 0.559125 1.005521
2025-02-23 0.016805 0.037798 0.078490 0.159804 0.313278 0.582932 1.080623
2025-03-02 0.014417 0.034081 0.073812 0.156184 0.316911 0.607722 1.159073
2025-03-09 0.012989 0.032193 0.072550 0.159166 0.333514 0.657700 1.287812
2025-03-16 0.011068 0.028860 0.067842 0.154635 0.335151 0.680539 1.369509
2025-03-23 0.010373 0.028236 0.068779 0.161872 0.360851 0.750718 1.545290
2025-03-30 0.009348 0.026617 0.067283 0.163688 0.375642 0.801191 1.687760
2025-04-06 0.008082 0.024139 0.063447 0.159806 0.377979 0.827258 1.784788
2025-04-13 0.007105 0.022219 0.060616 0.157791 0.384026 0.861163 1.900008
2025-04-20 0.006805 0.022100 0.062162 0.166224 0.414037 0.946885 2.127187
2025-04-27 0.006465 0.021803 0.063212 0.173574 0.442312 1.031209 2.357825
2025-05-04 0.005597 0.019760 0.059418 0.168433 0.441055 1.052117 2.456491
2025-05-11 0.004991 0.018391 0.057205 0.166992 0.448359 1.092210 2.599235
2025-05-18 0.004353 0.016771 0.054036 0.162608 0.447985 1.115043 2.705885